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How to Manage Your Investment Risk

Diversification vs. Asset Allocation-How to Manage Your Risk?

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Diversification vs. Asset Allocation-Managing Investment Risk

  1. Types of Risk
  2. Blind Diversification vs. Strategic Diversification

  3. Asset Allocation

Cash Flow Analysis

Bonds

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Portfolio Management

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Summary

  1. Suggestions
  2. Final thought

Blind Diversification vs. Strategic Diversification

When investors diversify their portfolio, they are attempting to reduce risk (variance) by offsetting losses from one investment with gains from another.  However, when it comes to selecting the proper securities based on the interrelationship of their returns, most investors go awry.  Is diversification really being accomplished if the security being added reacts similarly to other securities in the portfolio?  If you have two or three mutual funds that invest in similar asset classes, you haven’t diversified.  You have not reduced the nonsystematic risk portion of your portfolio effectively.  The funds you have will tend to move together without offsetting any losses. 

The proper way to strategically diversify your portfolio would be to add a security that behaves inversely to your current holdings.  By adding a security with an inverse relationship, you have a better chance of offsetting losses from other assets.  This is how nonsystematic risk is reduced.  By adding securities that do not move in a similar fashion, you will reduce volatility of your portfolio.  How do you know which security to add? 

The proper way to add an asset class that will reduce nonsystematic risk is to run a regression analysis to determine the correlation coefficient.  Correlation in our example can be defined as how the returns of a security vary with respect to other security returns.  Having an accurate assessment of the behavior between the past returns from different asset classes will allow you to optimize your objective - to reduce nonsystematic risk in your portfolio.

In conclusion, a portfolio with a correlation coefficient of less than one should reduce nonsystematic risk more effectively than a portfolio with a higher correlation coefficient.  When adding an asset that reduces your correlation coefficient, you have essentially reduced the risk of your portfolio even if it is a riskier asset that will increase the overall return of the portfolio.  

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